M Ellen Kuenzig, Mohsen Sadatsafavi, J Antonio Aviña-Zubieta, Rebecca M Burne, Michal Abrahamowicz, Marie-Eve Beauchamp, Gilaad G Kaplan, Eric I Benchimol

Growing evidence suggests asthma and Crohn's disease commonly cooccur. However, the impact of asthma on the prognosis of Crohn's disease is unknown. The aim of our study was to assess the effect of asthma on the need for intestinal resection in patients with Crohn's disease while adjusting for smoking status, imputed from a smaller, secondary data set. Using health administrative data from a universally funded healthcare plan in Alberta, Canada, we conducted a cohort study to assess the effect of asthma on the need for surgery in patients with Crohn's disease diagnosed between 2002 and 2008 (N=2,113). Validated algorithms were used to identify incident cases of Crohn's disease, cooccurring asthma, and intestinal resection. The association between asthma and intestinal resection was estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. Smoking status was imputed using a novel method using martingale residuals, derived from a data set of 485 patients enrolled in the Alberta Inflammatory Bowel Disease Consortium (2007 to 2014) who completed environmental questionnaires. All analyses were adjusted for age, sex, rural/urban status, and mean neighborhood income quintile. Asthma did not increase the risk of surgery in the health administrative data when not adjusting for smoking status (HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.29). The association remained nonsignificant after imputing smoking status in the health administrative data (HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.29). Although asthma is associated with an increased risk of Crohn's disease, co-occurring asthma is not associated with the risk of surgery in these patients. This null association persisted after adjusting for smoking status. This study described a novel method to adjust for confounding (smoking status) in time-to-event analyses, even when the confounding variable is unmeasured in health administrative data.