Title |
Possible predictive role of electrical risk score on transcatheter aortic valve replacement outcomes in older patients: preliminary data
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Published in |
Clinical Interventions in Aging, September 2018
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DOI | 10.2147/cia.s170226 |
Pubmed ID | |
Authors |
Gianfranco Piccirillo, Federica Moscucci, Fabiola Mastropietri, Claudia Di Iorio, Marco Valerio Mariani, Marcella Fabietti, Gaetana M Stricchiola, Ilaria Parrotta, Gennaro Sardella, Massimo Mancone, Damiano Magrì |
Abstract |
To evaluate the predicative power of the electrical risk score (ERS), a noninvasive and inexpensive test obtained by means of a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG), in a cohort of elderly patients who had undergone transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Survivors and non-survivors after TAVR at 1-year follow-up were compared in respect to the pre-procedural ERS as well as a number of other clinical and instrumental variables. ERS is composed of seven simple ECG markers: heart rate (>75 bpm); QRS duration (>110 ms); left ventricular hypertrophy (Sokolow-Lyon criteria); delayed QRS transition zone (≥ V4); frontal QRS-T angle (>90°); long QTBazett (>450 ms for men and >460 in women) or JTBazett (330 ms for men and >340 ms for women); and long Tpeak to Tend interval (Tp-e) (>89 ms). The trial was registered in ClinicalTrials.gov as NCT03145376. A total of 40 patients were evaluated. During the follow-up, the all-cause mortality rate was 25% (ten patients) with 15% of cardiovascular death (six patients). The ERS was the strongest predictor of all-cause (odds ratio 3.73, 95% CI: 1.44-9.66, P<0.05) or cardiovascular (odds ratio 3.95, 95% CI: 1.09-14.27, P<0.05) mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed that ERS had the widest significant sensitivity-specificity area under the curve (AUC) predicting all-cause (AUC: 0.855, P<0.05) or cardiovascular mortality (AUC: 0.908, P<0.05). ERS seems to be a useful noninvasive tool able to stratify the risk of mortality in 1-year follow-up of TAVR patients. These findings, however, require larger trials to be confirmed. |
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Country | Count | As % |
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Unknown | 40 | 100% |
Demographic breakdown
Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
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Student > Bachelor | 3 | 8% |
Student > Ph. D. Student | 3 | 8% |
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Other | 2 | 5% |
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Unknown | 19 | 48% |
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Sports and Recreations | 1 | 3% |
Other | 0 | 0% |
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